La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dundalk v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 37.85%2.64momio equitativo
EV +5.99%
Ventaja +2.14%
Kelly +3.33%
Crecimiento +0.200%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.57%37.72%37.92%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.8044.44%40.46%40.82%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 32.81%3.05momio equitativo
EV -0.258%
Ventaja -0.085%
Kelly -0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.68%32.95%32.66%38.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.722.653.0441.67%36.75%37.74%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.34%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.88%29.33%29.41%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.3535.71%32.28%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +5.99%E +2.14%K +3.33%G +0.200% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -21.26%E -8.86%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.19%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -8.47%E -2.72%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.258%E -0.085%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.57%EV -16.34%E -6.41%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.82%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -1.73%E -0.515%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.81%E -5.51%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.86%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.29%EV -14.83%E -6.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.51%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |