La scuola delle quote

Dundalk v Derry City

Inizio: 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 37.85%2.64quota equa
EV +5.99%
Vantaggio +2.14%
Kelly +3.33%
Crescita +0.200%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.57%37.72%37.92%39.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.472.452.8044.44%40.46%40.82%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derry City (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.81%3.05quota equa
EV -0.258%
Vantaggio -0.085%
Kelly -0.127%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.68%32.95%32.66%38.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.722.653.0441.67%36.75%37.74%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.34%3.41quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.515%
Kelly -0.734%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.88%29.33%29.41%30.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.103.103.3535.71%32.28%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV +5.99%E +2.14%K +3.33%G +0.200%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -21.26%E -8.86%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:05
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.19%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 18:39
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -8.47%E -2.72%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:39
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 18:01
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 18:01
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.258%E -0.085%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 18:20
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.57%EV -16.34%E -6.41%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 18:05
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 18:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:40
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:25
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.39%E -3.47%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:39
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:39
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 18:40
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:40
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:40
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:40
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.82%E -2.40%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -1.73%E -0.515%K -0.734%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.13%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 18:24
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 18:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.81%E -5.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -12.93%E -5.62%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -13.71%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.86%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-10 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.29%EV -14.83%E -6.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.51%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-10 18:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-04-10 18:35
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-04-10 18:30