A Escola das Odds

Dundalk v Derry City

Início: 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Final: Dundalk 2–1 Derry City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Previsão 41.45%2.41odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.84%41.52%41.37%43.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.212.252.3548.78%45.20%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derry City (Visitante)

Previsão 30.30%3.30odd justa
EV +0.601%
Vantagem +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.68%30.22%30.40%31.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.023.053.3235.71%33.14%32.79%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.24%3.54odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.28%28.26%28.23%29.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.223.253.4234.72%31.08%30.77%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.31%E -2.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 18:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 18:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.00%EV -10.04%E -4.63%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 18:39
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 18:19
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:30
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:29
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:10
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:19
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 18:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:29
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 18:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -11.29%E -5.27%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-29 18:19
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -15.02%E -7.33%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.16%E -5.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.66%E -6.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-29 18:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30