L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 2–1 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 41.45%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.84%41.52%41.37%43.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.252.3548.78%45.20%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.30%3.30cote équitable
EV +0.601%
Avantage +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.68%30.22%30.40%31.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.053.3235.71%33.14%32.79%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.24%3.54cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.28%28.26%28.23%29.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.223.253.4234.72%31.08%30.77%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.31%E -2.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 18:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 18:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.00%EV -10.04%E -4.63%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 18:39
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 18:19
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:30
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:29
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:10
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:19
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 18:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:29
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 18:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -11.29%E -5.27%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-29 18:19
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -15.02%E -7.33%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.16%E -5.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.66%E -6.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-29 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30