مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dundalk v Derry City

البداية: 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dundalk 2–1 Derry City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dundalk (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.45%2.41السعر العادل
EV -2.58%
الأفضلية -1.10%
Kelly -1.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.84%41.52%41.37%43.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.212.252.3548.78%45.20%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Derry City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.30%3.30السعر العادل
EV +0.601%
الأفضلية +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.68%30.22%30.40%31.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.023.053.3235.71%33.14%32.79%30.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.24%3.54السعر العادل
EV -3.41%
الأفضلية -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.28%28.26%28.23%29.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.223.253.4234.72%31.08%30.77%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.31%E -2.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 18:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 18:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.00%EV -10.04%E -4.63%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 18:39
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 18:19
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:30
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:29
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:10
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:19
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 18:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:29
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 18:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -11.29%E -5.27%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-29 18:19
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -15.02%E -7.33%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.16%E -5.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.66%E -6.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-29 18:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-29 18:30