La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundalk v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 41.45%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.84%41.52%41.37%43.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.252.3548.78%45.20%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV +0.601%
Ventaja +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%30.22%30.40%31.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.053.3235.71%33.14%32.79%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.24%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.28%28.26%28.23%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.253.4234.72%31.08%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.31%E -2.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.00%EV -10.04%E -4.63%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.85%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 18:25 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 18:10 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.87%E -5.06%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -11.29%E -5.27%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -15.02%E -7.33%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.03%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.16%E -5.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.66%E -6.48%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |