Language:English
Dundalk v Bohemians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.90%36.56%36.60%37.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.522.6442.55%39.49%39.68%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bohemians (Visit)
Prediction 35.80%2.79fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%35.85%35.80%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.6841.67%39.23%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.59%27.60%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 36.60%; Bohemians (Visit): 35.80%; Draw: 27.60%. For Dundalk (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -3.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -4.07%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -6.29%E -2.46%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -8.36%E -3.27%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.82%E -5.19%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.51%E -7.12%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.25%E -5.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.44%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |