La scuola delle quote

Dundalk v Bohemians

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Finale: Dundalk 1–3 Bohemians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundalk (Casa)

Previsione 36.60%2.73quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.90%36.56%36.60%37.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.532.522.6442.55%39.49%39.68%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bohemians (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.80%2.79quota equa
EV -4.07%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.78%35.85%35.80%36.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.552.6841.67%39.23%39.22%37.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.60%3.62quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.32%27.59%27.60%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -4.07%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 18:40
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:09
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:10
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:39
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:40
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:39
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:09
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -6.29%E -2.46%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -8.36%E -3.27%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:39
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 18:10
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:30
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 15:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:34
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 18:28
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 15:58
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.82%E -5.19%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:39
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.51%E -7.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-08 18:35
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.25%E -5.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.44%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:40