Idioma:Español
Dundalk v Bohemians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 36.60%2.73momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.90%36.56%36.60%37.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.532.522.6442.55%39.49%39.68%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bohemians (Visitante)
Predicción 35.80%2.79momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.78%35.85%35.80%36.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.6841.67%39.23%39.22%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%27.59%27.60%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dundalk (Local): 36.60%; Bohemians (Visitante): 35.80%; Empate: 27.60%. Para Dundalk (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.73. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.64, con un valor esperado de -3.36%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -4.07%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -6.29%E -2.46%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -8.36%E -3.27%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.82%E -5.19%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.51%E -7.12%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.25%E -5.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.44%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |