L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Dundalk 1–3 Bohemians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 36.60%2.73cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.90%36.56%36.60%37.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.532.522.6442.55%39.49%39.68%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.80%2.79cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.78%35.85%35.80%36.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.6841.67%39.23%39.22%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.32%27.59%27.60%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -4.07%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 18:40
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:09
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:10
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:39
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:40
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:39
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:09
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -6.29%E -2.46%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -8.36%E -3.27%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:39
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:34
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 18:10
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:30
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.76%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.93%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 15:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:34
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 18:28
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 15:58
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.82%E -5.19%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -6.22%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:39
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.51%E -7.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-08 18:35
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.25%E -5.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -14.44%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 18:40