Language:English
Derry City v Sligo Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 70.72%1.41fair odd
EV -0.994%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.83%70.54%70.80%72.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.331.331.4080.65%75.32%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sligo Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 10.69%9.35fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +0.339%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 9.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.69%10.75%10.62%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.008.028.009.6616.67%12.47%12.50%10.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.57%18.71%18.58%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.744.675.3223.81%21.10%21.39%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 70.72%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 10.69%; Draw: 18.59%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.35. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 9.66I 10.35%NM 9.92%EV +3.27%E +0.339%K +0.378%G +0.012% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -1.10%E -0.207%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -2.40%E -0.457%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -8.06%E -0.937%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.12%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.21%EV -12.31%E -9.93%K -51.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -4.53%E -3.36%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -17.15%E -2.21%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.51%EV -17.68%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.93%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.77%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.12%E -2.27%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 12.78%EV -21.64%E -2.95%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -7.61%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.39%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -8.91%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.