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Derry City v Sligo Rovers

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Derry City (Local)

Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -7.07%
Edge -4.91%
Kelly -16.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.18%64.53%64.53%64.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.431.4473.53%70.75%69.93%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 13.43%7.44fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.03%13.43%13.43%15.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.757.007.0017.54%14.80%14.29%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%22.03%22.03%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.144.204.3025.64%24.17%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Derry City (Local): 64.53%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 13.43%; Draw: 22.03%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -5.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.62%EV -8.12%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 19:00
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:54
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:54
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:54
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -10.00%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:55
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -10.00%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:55
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 18:54
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.65%E -6.89%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:54
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.65%E -6.89%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -10.94%E -7.93%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -20.75%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-31 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.18%EV -11.59%E -8.46%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.18%EV -23.43%E -4.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.64%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-31 18:55
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.69%EV -12.23%E -8.99%K -33.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.97%E -3.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 18:54
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -12.23%E -8.99%K -33.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -14.07%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-31 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.