Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Derry City v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Score final : Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 70.72%1.41cote équitable
EV -0.994%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.83%70.54%70.80%72.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.331.331.4080.65%75.32%75.19%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.69%9.35cote équitable
EV +3.27%
Avantage +0.339%
Kelly +0.378%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 9.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.69%10.75%10.62%14.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.008.028.009.6616.67%12.47%12.50%10.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.59%5.38cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.255%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.57%18.71%18.58%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.744.675.3223.81%21.10%21.39%18.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Derry City (Local) : 70.72% ; Sligo Rovers (Visiteur) : 10.69% ; Match nul : 18.59%. Pour Sligo Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.35. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.66, soit une espérance positive de +3.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.92%EV +3.27%E +0.339%K +0.378%G +0.012%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -1.10%E -0.207%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -2.40%E -0.457%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -8.06%E -0.937%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.12%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.21%EV -12.31%E -9.93%K -51.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -4.53%E -3.36%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -17.15%E -2.21%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.51%EV -17.68%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.93%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.77%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:20
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.12%E -2.27%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 12.78%EV -21.64%E -2.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -7.61%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:29
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.39%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -8.91%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:31
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35