StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Derry City v Sligo Rovers

Matchstart: 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Derry City (Hemma)

Prognos 70.72%1.41rättvist odds
EV -0.994%
Fördel -0.710%
Kelly -2.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.83%70.54%70.80%72.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.241.331.331.4080.65%75.32%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Borta)

Prognos 10.69%9.35rättvist odds
EV +3.27%
Fördel +0.339%
Kelly +0.378%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.69%10.75%10.62%14.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.008.028.009.6616.67%12.47%12.50%10.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.59%5.38rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.207%
Kelly -0.255%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.57%18.71%18.58%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.744.675.3223.81%21.10%21.39%18.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Derry City (Hemma): 70.72%; Sligo Rovers (Borta): 10.69%; Oavgjort: 18.59%. För Sligo Rovers (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.35. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.66, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.27%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.92%EV +3.27%E +0.339%K +0.378%G +0.012%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -1.10%E -0.207%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -2.40%E -0.457%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -8.06%E -0.937%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.12%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.21%EV -12.31%E -9.93%K -51.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -4.53%E -3.36%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -17.15%E -2.21%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.51%EV -17.68%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.93%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.77%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:20
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.12%E -2.27%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 12.78%EV -21.64%E -2.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -7.61%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:29
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.39%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -8.91%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:31
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-07 18:35