Idioma:Español
Derry City v Sligo Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 70.72%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.994%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.83%70.54%70.80%72.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.331.331.4080.65%75.32%75.19%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sligo Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 10.69%9.35momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +0.339%
Kelly +0.378%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.69%10.75%10.62%14.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.008.028.009.6616.67%12.47%12.50%10.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.59%5.38momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.255%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.57%18.71%18.58%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.744.675.3223.81%21.10%21.39%18.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Derry City (Local): 70.72%; Sligo Rovers (Visitante): 10.69%; Empate: 18.59%. Para Sligo Rovers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.35. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 9.66I 10.35%NM 9.92%EV +3.27%E +0.339%K +0.378%G +0.012% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV -1.10%E -0.207%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +1.56%E +0.165%K +0.184%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -2.40%E -0.457%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.78%E -0.420%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -8.06%E -0.937%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.12%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.21%EV -12.31%E -9.93%K -51.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.36%E -5.62%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.47%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.33%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -7.98%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -4.53%E -3.36%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -11.60%E -9.28%K -46.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -14.47%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -17.15%E -2.21%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -9.48%E -7.41%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.51%EV -17.68%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -16.34%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -5.04%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.20%E -4.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.93%EV -8.07%E -6.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.77%EV -19.82%E -2.64%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -19.13%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.12%E -2.27%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 12.78%EV -21.64%E -2.95%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -7.61%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -5.24%E -3.91%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.39%EV -8.77%E -6.80%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -22.49%E -3.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -8.91%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -0.994%E -0.710%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -35.85%E -5.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -21.92%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |