Language:English
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 34.21%2.92fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%34.20%34.24%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.652.642.8542.02%37.80%37.88%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 37.30%2.68fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%37.31%37.26%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.482.6544.44%40.20%40.40%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.49%28.50%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.193.203.4133.90%31.40%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 34.21%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 37.30%; Draw: 28.49%. For Shamrock Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -2.51%E -0.880%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.22%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.22%EV -2.85%E -0.836%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.73%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -8.26%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -16.07%E -7.14%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.03%E -3.82%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.03%E -3.82%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -15.17%E -6.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -16.19%E -6.61%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -16.88%E -6.94%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -16.88%E -6.94%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.89%EV -18.59%E -7.81%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.15%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.96%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.58% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |