StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Derry City v Shamrock Rovers

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Derry City (Hemma)

Prognos 34.21%2.92rättvist odds
EV -2.51%
Fördel -0.880%
Kelly -1.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.22%34.20%34.24%36.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.652.642.8542.02%37.80%37.88%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shamrock Rovers (Borta)

Prognos 37.30%2.68rättvist odds
EV -1.15%
Fördel -0.433%
Kelly -0.696%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.08%37.31%37.26%39.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.492.482.6544.44%40.20%40.40%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.49%3.51rättvist odds
EV -2.85%
Fördel -0.836%
Kelly -1.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.51%28.49%28.50%29.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.193.203.4133.90%31.40%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Derry City (Hemma): 34.21%; Shamrock Rovers (Borta): 37.30%; Oavgjort: 28.49%. För Shamrock Rovers (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.68. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.65, med väntevärdet -1.15%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -2.51%E -0.880%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.22%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.22%EV -2.85%E -0.836%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:55
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.73%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -8.26%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:45
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -16.07%E -7.14%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 14:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.03%E -3.82%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.03%E -3.82%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 14:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-30 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -15.17%E -6.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -16.19%E -6.61%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -16.88%E -6.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -16.88%E -6.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.89%EV -18.59%E -7.81%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.15%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.96%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 14:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-08-30 14:55