Idioma:Español
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 34.21%2.92momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.22%34.20%34.24%36.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.652.642.8542.02%37.80%37.88%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 37.30%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.433%
Kelly -0.696%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.08%37.31%37.26%39.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.482.6544.44%40.20%40.40%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.836%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%28.49%28.50%29.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.193.203.4133.90%31.40%31.25%29.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Derry City (Local): 34.21%; Shamrock Rovers (Visitante): 37.30%; Empate: 28.49%. Para Shamrock Rovers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.65, con un valor esperado de -1.15%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -2.51%E -0.880%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.22%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.22%EV -2.85%E -0.836%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.93%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.73%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -8.26%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.35%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -16.07%E -7.14%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.03%E -3.82%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.03%E -3.82%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -11.06%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -15.17%E -6.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -16.19%E -6.61%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -16.88%E -6.94%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -16.88%E -6.94%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.89%EV -18.59%E -7.81%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.15%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.96%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.58% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |