Language:English
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%30.14%30.15%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%40.38%40.28%41.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.302.3847.62%44.06%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%29.48%29.58%31.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.59%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 30.16%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 40.35%; Draw: 29.50%. For Derry City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -3.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 11:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.12%EV -6.22%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -18.88%E -6.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 12:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 12:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-20 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -10.03%E -4.50%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.46%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.24%EV -18.58%E -6.88%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.59%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |