La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 30.16%3.32momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.75%30.14%30.15%31.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 40.35%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.36%40.38%40.28%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.302.3847.62%44.06%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.84%29.48%29.58%31.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.59%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:03 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 11:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 20:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| 1xBet | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.12%EV -6.22%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -18.88%E -6.87%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 12:44 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:26 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 16:39 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 12:43 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-20 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -10.03%E -4.50%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.46%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.24%EV -18.58%E -6.88%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.59%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |