L’École des cotes

Derry City v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 30.16%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.75%30.14%30.15%31.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.35%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -2.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.36%40.38%40.28%41.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.302.3847.62%44.06%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.50%3.39cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.84%29.48%29.58%31.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.59%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:03
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:59
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 20:49
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:04
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.12%EV -6.22%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:05
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:04
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 12:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 00:29
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -18.88%E -6.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 09:04
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 12:44
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:26
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:04
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 16:39
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 12:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:29
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 00:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 19:20
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:04
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 12:43
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 12:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 03:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -10.03%E -4.50%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.46%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 07:04
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 12:25
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.24%EV -18.58%E -6.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.59%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-04-24 01:40
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%4.7%2026-04-24 01:35