La scuola delle quote

Derry City v Shamrock Rovers

Inizio: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Derry City (Casa)

Previsione 30.16%3.32quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.75%30.14%30.15%31.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shamrock Rovers (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.35%2.48quota equa
EV -3.97%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.36%40.38%40.28%41.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.302.3847.62%44.06%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.50%3.39quota equa
EV -4.13%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.84%29.48%29.58%31.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.59%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:03
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.50%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:59
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 20:49
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:04
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.12%EV -6.22%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:05
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:04
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.38%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 12:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 00:29
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -18.88%E -6.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 09:04
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 12:44
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:26
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:04
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 16:39
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.39%E -2.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 12:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:29
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 00:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 19:20
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:04
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 12:43
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.53%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 12:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.04%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 03:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:29
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -10.03%E -4.50%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.46%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.55%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.25%E -6.16%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 07:04
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.56%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 12:25
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.24%EV -18.58%E -6.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.59%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 12:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-04-24 01:40
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%4.7%2026-04-24 01:35