A Escola das Odds

Derry City v Galway United

Início: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Final: Derry City 1–1 Galway United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Derry City (Local)

Previsão 51.39%1.95odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.41%51.34%51.42%52.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.791.8758.82%56.00%55.87%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Galway United (Visitante)

Previsão 21.73%4.60odd justa
EV -0.036%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.37%21.77%21.66%23.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.214.204.6026.32%23.77%23.81%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.88%3.72odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -0.817%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.64%26.88%26.92%28.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.71%29.41%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -3.91%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.45%EV -2.64%E -0.590%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.62%EV -2.95%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 15:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -5.45%E -2.96%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -8.95%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 15:34
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 15:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.894%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:49
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 15:54
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 15:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -10.59%E -6.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.42%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 15:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -19.35%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -12.13%E -7.09%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.20%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -14.16%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55