L’École des cotes

Derry City v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Score final : Derry City 1–1 Galway United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 51.39%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -4.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.41%51.34%51.42%52.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.791.8758.82%56.00%55.87%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV -0.036%
Avantage -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.37%21.77%21.66%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.214.204.6026.32%23.77%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.88%3.72cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.64%26.88%26.92%28.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.71%29.41%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -3.91%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.45%EV -2.64%E -0.590%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.62%EV -2.95%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 15:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -5.45%E -2.96%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -8.95%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 15:34
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 15:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.894%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:49
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 15:54
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 15:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -10.59%E -6.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.42%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 15:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -19.35%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -12.13%E -7.09%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.20%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -14.16%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55