La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Derry City v Galway United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 51.39%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -4.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.41%51.34%51.42%52.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.791.8758.82%56.00%55.87%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Galway United (Visitante)
Predicción 21.73%4.60momio equitativo
EV -0.036%
Ventaja -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.37%21.77%21.66%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.214.204.6026.32%23.77%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.88%3.72momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.64%26.88%26.92%28.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.71%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -3.91%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.45%EV -2.64%E -0.590%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.62%EV -2.95%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -5.45%E -2.96%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -8.95%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.894%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -10.59%E -6.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.42%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -19.35%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -12.13%E -7.09%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.20%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -14.16%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |