مدرسة الاحتمالات

Derry City v Galway United

البداية: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Derry City 1–1 Galway United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Derry City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.39%1.95السعر العادل
EV -3.91%
الأفضلية -2.09%
Kelly -4.49%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.41%51.34%51.42%52.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.791.8758.82%56.00%55.87%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Galway United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.73%4.60السعر العادل
EV -0.036%
الأفضلية -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.37%21.77%21.66%23.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.214.204.6026.32%23.77%23.81%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.88%3.72السعر العادل
EV -2.95%
الأفضلية -0.817%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.64%26.88%26.92%28.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.71%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -3.91%E -2.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.45%EV -2.64%E -0.590%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.62%EV -2.95%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 15:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -5.45%E -2.96%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -8.95%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 15:34
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.21%E -0.491%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.036%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 15:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.894%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:49
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.02%E -4.48%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.05%E -5.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -4.38%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 15:54
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 15:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -10.59%E -6.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.42%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 15:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.10%E -6.42%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -19.35%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -12.13%E -7.09%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.20%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -12.65%E -7.44%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -14.16%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-04 15:55