Language:English
Bohemians v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bohemians (Local)
Prediction 52.05%1.92fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.14%52.09%51.97%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.771.771.8559.17%56.48%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.268%
Kelly +0.344%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%22.41%22.58%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.993.904.5027.40%25.04%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.46%3.93fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%25.50%25.44%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.503.8230.30%28.23%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 52.05%; Derry City (Visit): 22.49%; Draw: 25.46%. For Derry City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +1.20%E +0.268%K +0.344%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.31%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV +0.080%E +0.018%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.12%EV -2.73%E -0.714%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 18:32 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -8.69%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 18:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.89%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -11.16%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.00%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -17.91%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -15.97%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |