Idioma:Español
Bohemians v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 52.05%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.14%52.09%51.97%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.771.771.8559.17%56.48%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 22.49%4.45momio equitativo
EV +1.20%
Ventaja +0.268%
Kelly +0.344%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.42%22.41%22.58%24.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.993.904.5027.40%25.04%25.64%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.46%3.93momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -0.967%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%25.50%25.44%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.543.503.8230.30%28.23%28.57%26.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bohemians (Local): 52.05%; Derry City (Visitante): 22.49%; Empate: 25.46%. Para Derry City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.45. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +1.20%E +0.268%K +0.344%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.31%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV +0.080%E +0.018%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.12%EV -2.73%E -0.714%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 18:32 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -8.69%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 18:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.89%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -11.16%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.00%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -17.91%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -15.97%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |