Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bohemians v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC

Score final : Bohemians 5–3 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 52.05%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.14%52.09%51.97%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.771.771.8559.17%56.48%56.50%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.49%4.45cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.268%
Kelly +0.344%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%22.41%22.58%24.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.993.904.5027.40%25.04%25.64%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.46%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -0.967%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%25.50%25.44%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.503.8230.30%28.23%28.57%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bohemians (Local) : 52.05% ; Derry City (Visiteur) : 22.49% ; Match nul : 25.46%. Pour Derry City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.45. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +1.20%E +0.268%K +0.344%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.31%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV +0.080%E +0.018%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.12%EV -2.73%E -0.714%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:32
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:39
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 18:24
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:30
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:39
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -8.69%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:33
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 18:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:35
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.89%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -11.16%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 18:29
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.00%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-21 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -17.91%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -15.97%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-21 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-21 18:35
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-21 18:35