Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bohemians v Derry City

Início: 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Bohemians 5–3 Derry City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bohemians (Local)

Previsão 52.05%1.92odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -4.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.14%52.09%51.97%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.771.771.8559.17%56.48%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Derry City (Visitante)

Previsão 22.49%4.45odd justa
EV +1.20%
Vantagem +0.268%
Kelly +0.344%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.42%22.41%22.58%24.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.993.904.5027.40%25.04%25.64%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.46%3.93odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -0.714%
Kelly -0.967%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.90%25.50%25.44%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.543.503.8230.30%28.23%28.57%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bohemians (Local): 52.05%; Derry City (Visitante): 22.49%; Empate: 25.46%. Para Derry City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.45. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +1.20%E +0.268%K +0.344%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.31%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV +0.080%E +0.018%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.12%EV -2.73%E -0.714%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:32
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:39
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.29%E -0.766%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 18:24
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:30
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:39
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -8.69%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:33
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 18:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:35
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.89%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -11.16%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 18:29
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.00%EV -12.04%E -7.13%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -12.29%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-21 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.54%E -3.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -17.91%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -15.97%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-21 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-21 18:35
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-21 18:35