La scuola delle quote

Incheon United v Gwangju FC

Inizio: 2026-05-16 10:00 UTC

Finale: Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Incheon United (Casa)

Previsione 62.42%1.60quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -2.51%
Kelly -7.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.71%62.35%62.40%64.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.461.461.5473.53%68.31%68.73%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gwangju FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.34%7.50quota equa
EV +3.39%
Vantaggio +0.438%
Kelly +0.503%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.12%13.38%13.38%15.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.806.746.507.7517.24%14.84%15.38%12.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.24%4.13quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -0.640%
Kelly -0.852%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.57%24.26%24.22%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.763.754.0228.57%26.61%26.67%24.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.52%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.46%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -2.57%E -0.640%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 09:50
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.48%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 09:50
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.86%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 09:50
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 09:50
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 09:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 09:50
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 09:35
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 09:35
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.01%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -2.61%E -0.358%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 09:45
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 13.02%EV -2.74%E -0.376%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 09:55
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -3.28%E -0.452%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 09:34
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 09:34
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 08:55
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 09:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 09:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 09:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -12.61%E -9.01%K -31.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 09:15
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 09:34
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 09:49
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 09:30
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.89%EV -15.10%E -11.11%K -41.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-16 09:45
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 09:35
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 09:50
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 09:50
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 09:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 09:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 09:50
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:49
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.86%E -6.07%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.67%EV -12.03%E -3.31%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 09:36
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.45%EV -11.98%E -8.50%K -29.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.76%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 09:50
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 05:05
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 09:35
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 09:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-16 09:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-16 09:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-16 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-16 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-16 09:50
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.56%1.8%2026-05-16 09:55