مدرسة الاحتمالات

Incheon United v Gwangju FC

البداية: 2026-05-16 10:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Incheon United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.42%1.60السعر العادل
EV -3.87%
الأفضلية -2.51%
Kelly -7.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.71%62.35%62.40%64.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.461.461.5473.53%68.31%68.73%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Gwangju FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.34%7.50السعر العادل
EV +3.39%
الأفضلية +0.438%
Kelly +0.503%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.12%13.38%13.38%15.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.806.746.507.7517.24%14.84%15.38%12.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.24%4.13السعر العادل
EV -2.57%
الأفضلية -0.640%
Kelly -0.852%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.57%24.26%24.22%25.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.763.754.0228.57%26.61%26.67%24.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.52%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.46%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -2.57%E -0.640%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 09:50
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.48%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 09:50
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.86%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 09:50
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 09:50
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 09:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 09:50
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 09:35
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 09:35
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.01%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -2.61%E -0.358%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 09:45
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 13.02%EV -2.74%E -0.376%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 09:55
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -3.28%E -0.452%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 09:34
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 09:34
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 08:55
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 09:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 09:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 09:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -12.61%E -9.01%K -31.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 09:15
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 09:34
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 09:49
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 09:30
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.89%EV -15.10%E -11.11%K -41.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-16 09:45
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 09:35
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 09:50
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 09:50
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 09:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 09:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 09:50
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:49
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 09:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.86%E -6.07%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.67%EV -12.03%E -3.31%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 09:36
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.45%EV -11.98%E -8.50%K -29.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.76%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 09:50
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 05:05
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 09:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 09:35
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 09:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-16 09:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-16 09:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-16 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-16 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-16 09:50
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.56%1.8%2026-05-16 09:55