La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Incheon United v Gwangju FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incheon United (Local)
Predicción 62.42%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -7.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.71%62.35%62.40%64.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.461.5473.53%68.31%68.73%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gwangju FC (Visitante)
Predicción 13.34%7.50momio equitativo
EV +3.39%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.503%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.12%13.38%13.38%15.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.806.746.507.7517.24%14.84%15.38%12.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.24%4.13momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.640%
Kelly -0.852%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.26%24.22%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.763.754.0228.57%26.61%26.67%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.52%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.46%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -2.57%E -0.640%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.48%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.86%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.01%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -2.61%E -0.358%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 13.02%EV -2.74%E -0.376%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -3.28%E -0.452%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 08:55 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 09:40 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 09:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -12.61%E -9.01%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 09:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.89%EV -15.10%E -11.11%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.86%E -6.07%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.67%EV -12.03%E -3.31%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 09:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.45%EV -11.98%E -8.50%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.76%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 05:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |