L’École des cotesFrançais
Incheon United v Gwangju FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Incheon United (Local)
Prévision 62.42%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -7.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.71%62.35%62.40%64.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.461.461.5473.53%68.31%68.73%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gwangju FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.34%7.50cote équitable
EV +3.39%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.503%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 7.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.12%13.38%13.38%15.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.806.746.507.7517.24%14.84%15.38%12.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.24%4.13cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.852%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.26%24.22%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.754.0228.57%26.61%26.67%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.52%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.46%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -2.57%E -0.640%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.48%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV +3.39%E +0.438%K +0.503%G +0.017% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.86%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.00%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.77%EV -1.28%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.01%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -2.61%E -0.358%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 13.02%EV -2.74%E -0.376%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -3.28%E -0.452%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 08:55 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.24%E -5.60%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 09:40 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 09:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -12.61%E -9.01%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -6.61%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 09:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.89%EV -15.10%E -11.11%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.28%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -13.28%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.86%E -6.07%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.67%EV -12.03%E -3.31%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 09:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.45%EV -11.98%E -8.50%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.76%EV -14.62%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 05:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -19.95%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -9.49%E -6.54%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 09:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 09:55 |