Language:English
FC Seoul v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 49.31%2.03fair odd
EV +0.092%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%49.29%49.33%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.852.0357.14%54.00%54.05%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +0.835%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.97%22.86%25.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.994.004.4828.57%25.05%25.00%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.74%27.81%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.253.4533.33%30.57%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 49.31%; Incheon United (Visit): 22.97%; Draw: 27.72%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.19%EV +2.91%E +0.649%K +0.835%G +0.024% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.33%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.67%EV +2.45%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.29%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -10.76%E -5.94%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%EV -12.23%E -6.87%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.25%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.75%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.53%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV +0.092%E +0.045%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -17.31%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 07:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -19.61%E -5.60%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |