La scuola delle quote

FC Seoul v Incheon United

Inizio: 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC

Finale: FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Seoul (Casa)

Previsione 49.31%2.03quota equa
EV +0.092%
Vantaggio +0.045%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.31%49.29%49.33%51.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.851.852.0357.14%54.00%54.05%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Incheon United (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.97%4.35quota equa
EV +2.91%
Vantaggio +0.649%
Kelly +0.835%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.19%22.97%22.86%25.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.994.004.4828.57%25.05%25.00%22.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.72%3.61quota equa
EV -4.35%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.93%27.74%27.81%29.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.273.253.4533.33%30.57%30.77%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.19%EV +2.91%E +0.649%K +0.835%G +0.024%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 10:25
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.33%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.67%EV +2.45%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 10:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:25
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 10:25
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 21:05
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 10:24
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 10:20
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.29%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 10:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -10.76%E -5.94%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 21:05
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 09:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 13:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 09:55
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 10:15
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 10:10
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%EV -12.23%E -6.87%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 21:04
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 10:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 10:15
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.25%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 10:15
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.75%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-05 10:15
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.53%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-05 10:24
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV +0.092%E +0.045%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-05 10:25
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 20:24
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 10:25
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 20:24
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-05 10:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -17.31%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 07:30
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -19.61%E -5.60%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 22:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-07-05 09:55
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-07-05 10:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-07-05 10:20