L’École des cotesFrançais
FC Seoul v Incheon United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Seoul (Local)
Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV +0.092%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.089%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%49.29%49.33%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.852.0357.14%54.00%54.05%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Incheon United (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.97%4.35cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +0.649%
Kelly +0.835%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 4.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.19%22.97%22.86%25.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.994.004.4828.57%25.05%25.00%22.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.72%3.61cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%27.74%27.81%29.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.253.4533.33%30.57%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.19%EV +2.91%E +0.649%K +0.835%G +0.024% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.33%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.67%EV +2.45%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.29%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -10.76%E -5.94%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%EV -12.23%E -6.87%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 21:04 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.25%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.75%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.53%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV +0.092%E +0.045%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 20:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -17.31%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -19.61%E -5.60%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 22:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |