La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Seoul v Incheon United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Seoul (Local)
Predicción 49.31%2.03momio equitativo
EV +0.092%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.089%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%49.29%49.33%51.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.852.0357.14%54.00%54.05%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Incheon United (Visitante)
Predicción 22.97%4.35momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +0.649%
Kelly +0.835%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.19%22.97%22.86%25.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.994.004.4828.57%25.05%25.00%22.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%27.74%27.81%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.253.4533.33%30.57%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.19%EV +2.91%E +0.649%K +0.835%G +0.024% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.33%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.67%EV +2.45%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.29%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -10.76%E -5.94%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -11.74%E -6.56%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%EV -12.23%E -6.87%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 21:04 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.25%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.75%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.53%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV +0.092%E +0.045%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 20:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -17.31%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -19.61%E -5.60%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 22:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |