Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen

2026-08-15 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul (Local)

Prediction 48.90%2.05fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.12%48.88%51.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.801.9458.82%55.04%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daejeon Citizen (Visit)

Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.608%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%24.18%24.26%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.873.814.2029.41%25.86%26.25%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.948%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%26.70%26.87%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.22%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Seoul (Local): 48.90%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 24.27%; Draw: 26.83%. For Daejeon Citizen (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +1.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +1.95%E +0.463%K +0.608%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -13.94%E -7.92%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:31
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -15.41%E -8.91%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -16.87%E -9.93%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.23%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -7.28%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -7.52%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:24
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:19
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.99%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.40%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.46%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-08 11:34
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -17.47%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-08 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%6.9%2026-08-08 11:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%13.3%2026-08-08 11:20