Language:English
FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.99%40.91%40.51%47.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.262.252.3851.28%44.24%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 31.59%3.17fair odd
EV +20.03%
Edge +5.27%
Kelly +7.15%
Growth +1.43%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%31.19%31.61%33.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.853.8037.04%34.63%35.09%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%27.89%27.88%29.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.10%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 40.56%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 31.59%; Draw: 27.86%. For Daejeon Citizen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -20.92%E -10.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +20.03%E +5.27%K +7.15%G +1.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 10:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV +3.28%E +1.00%K +1.45%G +0.048% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.72%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.32%EV -5.10%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.89%EV -1.14%E -0.363%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.79%EV -3.05%E -0.877%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:23 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -7.94%E -3.50%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -5.51%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.49%E -0.713%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 10:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -14.83%E -7.06%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 10:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.14%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.88%EV -11.59%E -5.32%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -13.14%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -15.03%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-15 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.68%EV -12.40%E -5.74%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.75%EV -14.72%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |