默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen

2026-08-15 10:30 UTC — K League 1

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Seoul (主队)

预测 48.90%2.05公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -5.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布
48.00%49.12%48.88%51.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.821.801.9458.82%55.04%55.56%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Daejeon Citizen (客队)

预测 24.27%4.12公平赔率
EV +1.95%
优势 +0.463%
Kelly +0.608%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.00%24.18%24.26%25.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.873.814.2029.41%25.86%26.25%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.83%3.73公平赔率
EV -3.41%
优势 -0.948%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.88%26.70%26.87%27.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.22%28.99%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:FC Seoul (主队):48.90%;Daejeon Citizen (客队):24.27%;平局:26.83%。 对于“Daejeon Citizen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.12。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.20,由此产生+1.95%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +1.95%E +0.463%K +0.608%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -13.94%E -7.92%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:31
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -15.41%E -8.91%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -16.87%E -9.93%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.23%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -7.28%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -7.52%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:24
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:19
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.99%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.40%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.46%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-08 11:34
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -17.47%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-08 12:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%13.3%2026-08-08 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:40