Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen

2026-08-15 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Seoul (Local)

Prévision 48.90%2.05cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -5.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.00%49.12%48.88%51.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.801.9458.82%55.04%55.56%51.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV +1.95%
Avantage +0.463%
Kelly +0.608%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%24.18%24.26%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.873.814.2029.41%25.86%26.25%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -0.948%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.88%26.70%26.87%27.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.22%28.99%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Seoul (Local) : 48.90% ; Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur) : 24.27% ; Match nul : 26.83%. Pour Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.20, pour une espérance positive de +1.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +1.95%E +0.463%K +0.608%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -13.94%E -7.92%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:31
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.92%E -8.57%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -0.482%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -15.41%E -8.91%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -16.87%E -9.93%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.23%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -7.28%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -7.52%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:24
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:19
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.99%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.40%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.46%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-08 11:34
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.98%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -17.47%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-08 12:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%6.9%2026-08-08 11:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%13.3%2026-08-08 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:40