Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen

Início: 2026-08-15 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 4–2 Daejeon Citizen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Seoul (Local)

Previsão 40.56%2.47odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.99%40.91%40.51%47.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.262.252.3851.28%44.24%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)

Previsão 31.59%3.17odd justa
EV +20.03%
Vantagem +5.27%
Kelly +7.15%
Crescimento +1.43%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.59%31.19%31.61%33.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.853.8037.04%34.63%35.09%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.86%3.59odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.713%
Kelly -0.998%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.05%27.89%27.88%29.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.10%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Seoul (Local): 40.56%; Daejeon Citizen (Visitante): 31.59%; Empate: 27.86%. Para Daejeon Citizen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.17. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +20.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -20.92%E -10.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +20.03%E +5.27%K +7.15%G +1.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 10:34
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV +3.28%E +1.00%K +1.45%G +0.048%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.72%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.32%EV -5.10%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.89%EV -1.14%E -0.363%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.79%EV -3.05%E -0.877%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 10:29
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -7.94%E -3.50%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:19
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -5.51%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 10:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:19
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.49%E -0.713%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:24
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 10:29
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 10:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 10:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:18
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 10:15
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -14.83%E -7.06%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-15 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:24
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:18
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -9.98%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:24
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:29
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-15 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.14%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 10:24
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.88%EV -11.59%E -5.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -13.14%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -15.03%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.68%EV -12.40%E -5.74%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.75%EV -14.72%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 10:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-08-15 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-08-15 10:25
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-15 10:29
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.4%2026-08-15 10:25