Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 35.81%2.79fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%35.59%35.86%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.642.602.8842.55%37.93%38.46%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 35.85%2.79fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.23%36.07%35.79%39.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.7444.44%40.93%40.82%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.34%28.34%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.193.153.4433.67%31.31%31.75%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 35.81%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 35.85%; Draw: 28.34%. For Daejeon Citizen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +3.13%E +1.09%K +1.66%G +0.052%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -16.46%E -7.06%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 04:30
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.096%E -0.035%K -0.054%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.29%E -3.67%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -1.76%E -0.642%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -2.52%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 04:34
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 04:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 04:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 04:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.42%E -2.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.05%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 04:25
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 04:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:39
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 04:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 04:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 04:34
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-21 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 34.38%EV -10.84%E -4.35%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.55%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 34.89%EV -11.55%E -4.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.67%EV -15.74%E -6.70%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -14.14%E -4.67%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 04:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 04:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.98%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.16%EV -15.02%E -6.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.86%EV -15.84%E -5.33%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 04:33
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.75%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -19.33%E -8.59%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.58%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55