La escuela de los momios

Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Inicio: 2026-03-21 05:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Predicción 35.81%2.79momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%35.59%35.86%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.642.602.8842.55%37.93%38.46%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)

Predicción 35.85%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.642%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.23%36.07%35.79%39.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.7444.44%40.93%40.82%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.34%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.34%28.34%29.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.973.193.153.4433.67%31.31%31.75%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +3.13%E +1.09%K +1.66%G +0.052%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -16.46%E -7.06%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 04:30
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.096%E -0.035%K -0.054%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.29%E -3.67%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -1.76%E -0.642%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -2.52%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 04:50
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 04:34
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 04:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 04:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 04:35
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.42%E -2.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.05%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 04:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 04:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:35
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 04:53
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 04:39
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 04:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-21 04:40
Unibet (FR)2.49I 40.16%NM 34.38%EV -10.84%E -4.35%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.55%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 04:50
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 34.89%EV -11.55%E -4.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.67%EV -15.74%E -6.70%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -14.14%E -4.67%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 04:39
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 04:39
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.98%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.16%EV -15.02%E -6.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.86%EV -15.84%E -5.33%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 04:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 04:33
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.75%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -19.33%E -8.59%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.58%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55