L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 35.81%2.79cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.81%35.59%35.86%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.642.602.8842.55%37.93%38.46%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.85%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.23%36.07%35.79%39.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.452.7444.44%40.93%40.82%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.34%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.34%28.34%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.973.193.153.4433.67%31.31%31.75%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +3.13%E +1.09%K +1.66%G +0.052%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -16.46%E -7.06%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 04:30
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.096%E -0.035%K -0.054%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.29%E -3.67%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -1.76%E -0.642%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -2.52%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 04:50
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 04:34
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 04:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 04:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 04:35
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.42%E -2.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.05%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 04:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 04:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:35
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 04:53
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 04:39
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 04:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-21 04:40
Unibet (FR)2.49I 40.16%NM 34.38%EV -10.84%E -4.35%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.55%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 04:50
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 34.89%EV -11.55%E -4.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.67%EV -15.74%E -6.70%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -14.14%E -4.67%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 04:39
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 04:39
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.98%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.16%EV -15.02%E -6.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.86%EV -15.84%E -5.33%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 04:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 04:33
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.75%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -19.33%E -8.59%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.58%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55