A Escola das Odds

Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Início: 2026-03-21 05:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Previsão 35.81%2.79odd justa
EV +3.13%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.81%35.59%35.86%36.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.642.602.8842.55%37.93%38.46%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)

Previsão 35.85%2.79odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.23%36.07%35.79%39.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.442.452.7444.44%40.93%40.82%36.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.34%3.53odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -0.732%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.34%28.34%29.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.973.193.153.4433.67%31.31%31.75%29.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +3.13%E +1.09%K +1.66%G +0.052%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -16.46%E -7.06%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +2.05%E +0.720%K +1.11%G +0.023%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV +0.262%E +0.093%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 04:30
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -0.096%E -0.035%K -0.054%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.29%E -3.67%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -1.76%E -0.642%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -2.52%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 04:50
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -5.92%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 04:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 04:34
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 04:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 04:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 04:35
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.42%E -2.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.05%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 04:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 04:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 04:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 04:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 04:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -7.62%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -9.65%E -3.83%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 04:35
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 04:53
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 04:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 04:39
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 04:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -17.53%E -7.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-21 04:40
Unibet (FR)2.49I 40.16%NM 34.38%EV -10.84%E -4.35%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.55%EV -18.25%E -8.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 04:50
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 34.89%EV -11.55%E -4.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.67%EV -15.74%E -6.70%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -14.14%E -4.67%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 04:39
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.95%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 04:39
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.98%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.16%EV -15.02%E -6.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.86%EV -15.84%E -5.33%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 04:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.36%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 04:33
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -15.85%E -6.75%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -19.33%E -8.59%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 04:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-03-21 04:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-21 04:35
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.58%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-21 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-03-21 04:55