Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 61.20%1.63fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.00%61.22%61.30%62.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.6170.42%66.83%66.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gwangju FC (Visit)
Prediction 15.92%6.28fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 6.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.82%15.93%15.87%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.745.806.4920.00%17.42%17.24%15.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%22.85%22.84%24.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.943.904.2426.67%25.40%25.64%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 61.20%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 15.92%; Draw: 22.88%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV +3.32%E +0.511%K +0.604%G +0.020% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.69%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -0.502%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -0.502%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -2.89%E -0.474%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -11.26%E -7.77%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -10.65%E -7.29%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.28%EV -13.10%E -9.22%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-02 10:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -1.47%E -0.912%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.49%EV -13.56%E -2.50%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -7.56%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.33%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.64%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-02 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.54% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
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