The School of Odds

Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC

2026-08-02 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 62.01%1.61fair odd
EV -6.99%
Edge -4.66%
Kelly -13.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.94%62.36%61.83%65.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.411.5074.63%70.18%70.92%66.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 15.19%6.58fair odd
EV +13.95%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.299%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.10%14.93%15.35%16.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.006.496.807.5020.00%15.42%14.70%13.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%22.71%22.82%23.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.604.014.104.2027.78%24.92%24.39%23.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.63%EV -12.57%E -8.92%K -30.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +13.95%E +1.86%K +2.15%G +0.299%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +13.95%E +1.86%K +2.15%G +0.299%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 10:45
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -10.09%E -6.96%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:33
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -10.71%E -7.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:34
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:46
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -15.67%E -11.52%K -43.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 10:45
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -16.91%E -12.62%K -49.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.09%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.32%EV +0.430%E +0.065%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.59%EV -4.47%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -13.19%E -9.42%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -1.24%E -0.191%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 11:05
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.83%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.61%EV -2.61%E -0.407%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:20
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -2.76%E -0.431%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.08%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.08%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:50
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -10.36%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -10.36%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.26%EV -13.19%E -9.42%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.92%EV -12.64%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -17.92%E -4.98%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-26 12:35
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.35%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -13.40%E -2.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.21%EV -11.33%E -7.92%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -14.92%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.16%EV -13.82%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-26 11:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.71%E -7.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -16.44%E -2.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.36%E -3.52%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -10.71%E -7.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.51%EV -19.47%E -3.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -12.22%E -3.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.94%EV -12.57%E -8.92%K -30.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.90%EV -24.03%E -4.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.16%EV -16.78%E -4.60%K -6.33%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%13.5%2026-07-26 11:50