Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC

Início: 2026-08-02 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 2–0 Gwangju FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Previsão 61.20%1.63odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.00%61.22%61.30%62.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.501.501.6170.42%66.83%66.67%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Previsão 15.92%6.28odd justa
EV +3.32%
Vantagem +0.511%
Kelly +0.604%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.82%15.93%15.87%17.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.745.806.4920.00%17.42%17.24%15.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.88%4.37odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.705%
Kelly -0.922%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.19%22.85%22.84%24.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.943.904.2426.67%25.40%25.64%23.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 61.20%; Gwangju FC (Visitante): 15.92%; Empate: 22.88%. Para Gwangju FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.28. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.49, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV +3.32%E +0.511%K +0.604%G +0.020%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.69%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -0.502%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 10:00
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -0.502%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -2.89%E -0.474%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 10:14
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 09:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 10:00
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 10:00
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:14
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 09:54
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -11.26%E -7.77%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 10:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 09:04
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 10:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 10:04
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 10:04
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 10:24
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 09:05
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -10.65%E -7.29%K -23.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 10:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.28%EV -13.10%E -9.22%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-02 10:19
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -1.47%E -0.912%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.49%EV -13.56%E -2.50%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -7.56%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 10:24
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.33%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 09:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.64%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 09:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 10:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 10:04
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-08-02 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-08-02 10:15
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-08-02 10:25
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.54%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.5%2026-08-02 10:25
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-08-02 10:25