L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC

2026-08-02 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 62.01%1.61cote équitable
EV -6.99%
Avantage -4.66%
Kelly -13.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.94%62.36%61.83%65.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.421.411.5074.63%70.18%70.92%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gwangju FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.19%6.58cote équitable
EV +13.95%
Avantage +1.86%
Kelly +2.15%
Croissance +0.299%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.10%14.93%15.35%16.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.496.807.5020.00%15.42%14.70%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.80%4.39cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%22.71%22.82%23.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.104.2027.78%24.92%24.39%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.63%EV -12.57%E -8.92%K -30.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +13.95%E +1.86%K +2.15%G +0.299%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +13.95%E +1.86%K +2.15%G +0.299%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 10:45
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -10.09%E -6.96%K -22.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:33
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -10.71%E -7.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:34
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:46
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.43%E -10.46%K -37.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:45
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -15.67%E -11.52%K -43.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 10:45
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -16.91%E -12.62%K -49.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV +6.36%E +0.908%K +1.06%G +0.067%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.09%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.32%EV +0.430%E +0.065%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.59%EV -4.47%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -13.19%E -9.42%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -1.24%E -0.191%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 11:05
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.83%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.61%EV -2.61%E -0.407%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:20
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -2.76%E -0.431%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.08%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.08%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:50
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -10.36%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -10.36%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.26%EV -13.19%E -9.42%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.92%EV -12.64%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -17.92%E -4.98%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-26 12:35
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.35%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -13.40%E -2.35%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.21%EV -11.33%E -7.92%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -14.92%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.16%EV -13.82%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-26 11:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.71%E -7.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -16.44%E -2.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.36%E -3.52%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -10.71%E -7.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.51%EV -19.47%E -3.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -12.22%E -3.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.94%EV -12.57%E -8.92%K -30.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.90%EV -24.03%E -4.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.16%EV -16.78%E -4.60%K -6.33%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%13.5%2026-07-26 11:50