Idioma:Español
Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Predicción 61.20%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.00%61.22%61.30%62.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.6170.42%66.83%66.67%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gwangju FC (Visitante)
Predicción 15.92%6.28momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.511%
Kelly +0.604%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.82%15.93%15.87%17.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.745.806.4920.00%17.42%17.24%15.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.705%
Kelly -0.922%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.19%22.85%22.84%24.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.943.904.2426.67%25.40%25.64%23.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 61.20%; Gwangju FC (Visitante): 15.92%; Empate: 22.88%. Para Gwangju FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.49, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%EV +3.32%E +0.511%K +0.604%G +0.020% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.69%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -0.502%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -0.502%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -2.89%E -0.474%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.59%E -5.03%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.98%E -4.59%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.47%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -11.26%E -7.77%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -10.65%E -7.29%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.28%EV -13.10%E -9.22%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-02 10:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -1.47%E -0.912%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.49%EV -13.56%E -2.50%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -7.56%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.33%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.64%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-02 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.54% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |