Language:English
Urawa Red Diamonds v Tokyo Verdy
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)
Prediction 51.79%1.93fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.71%51.89%51.79%54.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.64%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Verdy (Visit)
Prediction 21.02%4.76fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.345%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%20.94%21.06%22.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.284.8225.00%23.17%23.39%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.29%27.16%27.15%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.363.303.5530.77%29.78%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 51.79%; Tokyo Verdy (Visit): 21.02%; Draw: 27.19%. For Tokyo Verdy (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.96%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV +1.32%E +0.273%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.15%EV -4.02%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.20%E -0.256%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-17 08:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.31%E -0.719%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 08:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.34%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%EV -7.09%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.05%EV -4.02%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 12:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 12:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.53%EV -11.44%E -6.69%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -8.56%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.36%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.02%EV -6.46%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 10:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 08:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 09:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 12:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 09:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 09:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-17 08:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-17 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.60% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |